[b.2.]







SUBJECT:  DIA ASIA PACIFIC INTSUM 215-90/9 AUG 90.  (U)



))





[b.1. sec. 1.5.(c), (d)]



))

IRAQ-KUWAIT:  SITUATION UPDATE.     

AS OF 2100Z 9 AUGUST 90

))

MAJOR POINTS





[b.1. sec. 1.5.(c)]







3.       THE IRAQI AMBASSADOR IN ATHENS ANNOUNCED THAT BAGHDAD WILL

USE CHEMICAL WEAPONS IF ATTACKED BY THE US OR ISRAEL.





[b.1. sec. 1.5.(c)]











8.       IN A 9 AUGUST NEWS CONFERENCE, THE IRAQI AMBASSADOR IN

ATHENS ANNOUNCED THAT BAGHDAD WOULD USE CHEMICAL WEAPONS IF IT IS

ATTACKED BY THE US OR ISRAEL.  EVIDENCE THAT IRAQ IS UPLOADING

AIRCRAFT WITH CHEMICAL MUNITIONS OR DEPLOYING CHEMICAL WEAPONS INTO

KUWAIT REMAINS AMBIGUOUS. HOWEVER, THE IRAQIS PLAN FOR CHEMICAL USE

AS PART OF THEIR NORMAL FIRE SUPPORT PLANNING. THE DECISION TO

IMPLEMENT IT PROBABLY RESTS WITH SADDAM HUSAYN.







[b.1. sec. 1.5.(c)]

















11.       BAGHDAD'S THREAT TO USE CHEMICAL WEAPONS IS NOT HOLLOW.

IRAQ HAS USED THESE WEAPONS DURING THE WAR WITH IRAN AND AGAINST

ITS

OWN KURDISH POPULATION AT HALABJA. IF BAGHDAD PERCEIVES ITS FORCES

ARE SERIOUSLY THREATENED, A CHEMICAL ATTACK IS LIKELY.







BT



#9051



NNNN