IRAQ SRBM WARNING REPORT (U)

Filename:627rpt.91j


DATE: 24 JAN 1991         
TO: 
SUBJ:  IRAQ SRBM WARNING REPORT (U)
       THIS IS THE FOURTH REPORT IN THE SERIES WHICH RELATES 
TO THE SUBJECT WARNING PROBLEM.  THIS INFORMATION IS BEING 
DISSEMINATED TO PROVIDE WARNING TO U.S. DEFENSE 

[      (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)    ]


		     DEFENSE INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
[    b.2.    ]
-	AUTHORITIES REGARDING THE DEVELOPMENT AND STATUS OF A SITUATION 
WHICH MAY THREATEN U.S. INTERESTS.
  
1. SUMMARY  [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]  INDICATE IRAQ 
INTENDS TO LAUNCH TWO SCUD MISSILES ARMED WITH CHEMICAL OR 
BIOLOGICAL WARHEADS AGAINST ISRAEL DURING THE EARLY MORNING 
HOURS ON 21 JANUARY 91.  ONE SOURCE INDICATED TARGETS WERE 
HAIFA AND TEL AVIV.  SOURCE INDICATED THE LAUNCHES WOULD OCCUR 
FROM 3608N 04132E IN NORTHWEST IRAQ.  THE SAME SOURCE 
INDICATED A SECOND LAUNCH IS TO OCCUR FROM SOUTHWEST IRAQ 
VICINITY 3206N 04228E NEAR MUDAYSIS.  MISSILE TO BE NUCLEAR 
ARMED AND TARGETED AT US/SAUDI BASE.  ALSO DURING EARLY 
MORNING 21 JAN 91.  THE LOCATIONS OF THE SCUD MISSILE 
LAUNCHERS ARE WITHIN RANGE OF INDICATED TARTETS IN ISRAEL, AS 
ARE US/SAUDI BASES IN NORTHERN SAUDI ARABIA AS FAR SOUTH AS 
2545N LATITUDE.

2. BACKGROUND.  THE POSSIBILITY OF SCUD LAUNCHES AGAINST ISRAEL FROM 
NORTHWESTERN IRAQ WAS REPORTED BY [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ] DURING
SEP/OCT 90 WHICH INDICATED THE DEPLOYMENT OF UP TO TWELVE 
MOBILE LAUNCHERS TO THE GENERAL AREA OF MOSUL, IRAQ.


NO OTHER DEFINITIVE INTELLIGENCE HAS CONFIRMED SCUD PRESENCE 
IN THIS AREA.  IN THE AREA NEAR MUDAYSIS IN SOUTHWEST IRAQ,  A 
SCUD MISSILE BEEN PREVIOUSLY IDENTIFIED AS SCUD DEPLOYMENT 
AREA.


3. ASSESSMENT.  THERE IS NO OTHER INFORMATION TO SUPPORT ABOVE [   (b)(1) 
sec 1.3(a)(4)   ] REPORTING.  THE INFORMATION WILL CONTINUE TO BE 
EVALUATED WITH FOLLOW-UP AS REQUIRED.  [   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]
POC FOR IRAOI SRBM TARGETING [   (b)(6)   ]
SUPPORT IS THE JIC TARGET SUPPORT CELL (TSC)
POC IS [   (b)(6)   ]

[   (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4)   ]

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