Iraq- Damage Caused to CW Facilities Filename:0pgv082.91p RESPOND TO TASK 3863 PASS TO THE ITF OPS OFFICER 30 JAN 91 0155 HRS SENT BY: [ (b)(6) ] 29 January 1991 Iraq- Damage Caused to CW Facilities Answers to questions and comments are given below. 1. Thank you for the most valuable information regarding the damage caused to CW facilities in Iraq. To our understanding the production capability of nerve agent CW was severely damaged. The mustard gas production facility (Pl0) was not damaged. Comment: As noted, the production capability for nerve agent was severely damaged. The extent of damage to plant P-10 is unknown, and we are still trying to get data to assess this damage. There are still several production units at Samarra that could be capable of making chemical agent. 2. The filling capability was damaged but we can not estimate the dimensions of the damage. COMMENT: Two of the three filling buildings at Samarra have been destroyed. DIA assesses that these two buildings cannot be used to fill more ammunition. One building remains and could still be capable of filling ammunition. This will limit the amount of ammunition Iraq can fill. 3. Since the CW storage bunkers in airfields and in Samarra were not damaged, we assume that Iraq still maintains its chemical offensive capability and that it was not damaged. COMMENT: DIA concurs with this assessment. The chemical weapons and agents in Iraq could be stored virtually anywhere, so the destruction of the bunkers gives only limited assurance that they would be out of chemical weapons. There is a good chance that Iraq has dispersed at least some of their chemical weapons, and it is only prudent to assume that they have done so. DIA believes that Iraq will have a potent chemical arsenal at least through the end of March 1991. [ (b)(1) sec 1.3(a)(4) ] C. Were the facilities mentioned above [functioning] until the bombings? COMMENT: A production run was apparently in progress starting about mid-December 1990. Cannot determine if the plants were active at the time of the attack. No decontamination efforts have been noted at the facility following the attack, however. D. Was the filling facility active when it was bombed? COMMENT: Cannot determine this. No efforts at decontamination have been seen at these buildings since they were attacked, but such efforts could have occurred without our knowledge. E. Will sarin and GF be used only as binary CW? COMMENT: At least in the near term, probably not. Iraq should have unitary chemical nerve weapons available for the next four to six weeks. Any binaries should last longer. F. Is there any likelihood that long range SSMs will be filled with mustard gas? COMMENT: Yes. Mustard is a good choice for a missile warhead fill due to its persistence, stability, and ability to cause injury by action through the skin. [ b.2. ]