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TURKEY:  GOOD ENOUGH FOR NATO, BUT NOT FOR THE EU?





(Foreign Media Reaction Daily Digest - 14 March 1997)



The European media has run up warning flags over the

ongoing struggle between Turkey's Islamist prime minister

and his country's generals over demands that he toe the

country's traditional secularist line and Ankara's

statement that it would block NATO enlargement if its

European Union (EU) candidacy is rejected.  Painfully aware

of Turkey's strategic importance as the southeastern

bulwark of Europe and NATO, commentators hoped that the

military and Prime Minister Erbakan would arrive at an

amicable understanding, thus preventing a coup.  An army

takeover, London's conservative Times said, "would be a

disastrous setback for Turkish democracy and encourage

Islamic underground fanaticism."  Journalists fretted that

Ankara's NATO threat would add yet another complication to

an enlargement to the East already made difficult by

Russia's determined opposition.  Mass-appeal weekly Magyar

Narancs of Budapest worried that Turkey's importance to

NATO might outweigh the claims of Hungary and other NATO

candidates.  "The Turkish military," it admitted, "is far

more valuable that the miserable 'operetta-militaries' of

the three Central European countries likely to be invited." 

In Moscow, centrist Nezavisimaya Gazeta judged that the

Turkish move "is welcome news to Russia, which, fighting a

lone hand, has so far been unable to make NATO abandon its

plans."  Turkish observers, convinced that "integration

with Europe is the highest priority objective of Turkish

foreign policy today," doubted that their government's

pairing of the NATO "card" with the EU application would

yield results.  Mass-appeal Sabah wondered, "Why is Turkey

attracting the wrath, not only of the EU, but all the NATO

countries, including...the U.S.?"



Writers were also torn between the perceived need to

satisfy Turkey and resentment of what Brussels's liberal

weekly Knack dubbed "a classic example of Ottoman

blackmail."  Resentment also surfaced in their criticism of

the U.S., which in recent statements by Secretary of State

Albright and the State Department spokesman championed

Turkey's case before the EU.  Most editorials rejected the

U.S. comments as "inappropriate interference" in EU affairs

and defended the EU stand regarding Ankara's human rights

record and its history of conflict with EU member Greece. 

Social Democratic Arbeiderbladet of Oslo declared, "Weighty

reasons militate against Turkish EU membership, including

its occupation of Cyprus, its human rights violations, and

the war against the Kurds."  Center-left, pro-Pasok

Kiriakatiki Elevtherotipia of Athens eagerly seized on this

theme:  "The main goal is Turkey's democratization.... 

This and only this is the road to a substantive approach

with Europe."  Centrist Tribune de Gen ve, in turn, bared

what it judged were the real reasons behind European

opposition:  "Europe...will do all  within its means to

keep Turkey out of the 'Christian club.'"  This assumption

appeared confirmed by a fresh rejection of Turkey's EU bid

at last week's gathering of leaders of European Christian

Democratic parties. Istanbul's mass-appeal, sensationalist

Sabah charged, "Christian Democrats are trying to isolate

Turkey from Europe because of religious biases."   Regional

radio Hessischer  Rundfunk of Frankfurt lamented, "(German

Chancellor) Kohl and his friends...again gave evidence of

the small-mindedness of the Europeans in strategic 

questions.... This was an unwise move."

This survey is based on 39 reports from 14 countries, Jan.

29-March 14.

EDITOR:  Mildred Sola Neely

 

                                 EUROPE 

                                    

TURKEY:  "Albright Praised Ataturk" 



Papers front-paged stories on Secretary Albright quoting

the founder of the secular Turkish Republic, Mustafa Kemal

Ataturk, at a conference on International Women's Day,

Yasemin Congar said in mass-appeal Milliyet (3/14),

"Secretary Albright mentioned Ataturk while she was

elaborating on the role of women in the modern world. 

Addressing a very high-level audience, including Mrs.

Clinton, Secretary Albright talked about the role of women

internationally in the social, political and economic

spheres.  She said that democracy is inadequate if women do

not participate equally.  She stated, 'As Kemal Ataturk

said, you cannot reach the modern world by modernizing only

half of the population. ' This speech was a good response

to the Europeans as well, since they claim that Turkish

civilization is different from the European."



"U.S. Is On The Attack, Europe Is Nervous" 



Following Nicholas Burns's most recent statement supporting

Turkey's membership in the EU, Yalcin Dogan observed under

the headline above in mass-appeal Milliyet (3/13),

"Washington sent classified cables to all its European

missions.  The messages asked the ambassadors to work on

Ankara's EU application and to make sure that Turkey will

be listed among candidates.  The United States is doing

this in a bipartisan way.  Whichever party were in charge,

Washington would act in the same way.  The reason is

simple: The United States does not want to experience

another Iran or Algiers; it does not want to lose Turkey. 

That's why it is putting every possible pressure on the

Europeans to convince them of a multinational and

multiracial Europe."



"Turkey Is Part Of Europe:  Let's Fight For What Is Just"



Mehmet Ali Birand held in mass-appeal, sensationalist Sabah

(3/13), "Christian Democrats are trying to isolate Turkey

from Europe because of religious biases.  We have to fight

against this attitude.  Turkey is a part of Europe, but,

oddly enough, Europe has been fooling us for 34 years

saying, 'One day, you will be a member.'  If the EU does

not put Turkey on its 11-country candidate list, it will be

a grave mistake.  Let's fight for what is just and right. 

I am giving you an address list for the EU.  Write to every

one of them, including the White House, and show them that

we are determined on this."



"Europe And Blackmail"



Cengiz Candar told readers of mass-appeal, sensationalist

Sabah (3/11), "Turkey's policy toward the EU is a blurry

picture.  The prime minister and his deputy are projecting

two different views.  Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign

Minister Ciller is persisting with her blackmail policy and

threatening multinational companies with the boycot of

German goods.  Meanwhile, Prime Minister Erbakan says

clearly how happy he is with Germany.  He thinks that the

world is about to be reshaped completely and that Turkey

and Germany could easily work together on this.  Can you

imagine such a foreign policy?" 



"We Should Continue Relations With Europe"



On page one of pro-Islamic Zaman (3/11), Fehmi Koru

insisted, "We should challenge the European Union's

tendency to isolate Turkey from the Union.  Even if we are

not accepted as a member of the EU, we should continue

relations with Europe.  Even when things go wrong with the

EU, this should not be a cause to draw closer to the United

States."



"U.S. Model:  Pluralism?  Secularism?"



Turkish papers have recently focused on the U.S. "model" of

secularism because high-level 





Refah Party (Welfare) officials were quoted as saying that

"Turkey needs a secularism modeled on that of the United

States."   Yasemin Congar pointed out in mass-appeal

Milliyet (3/3), "The Refah Party has repeatedly claimed

that it wants a 'U.S. type of secularism,' pointing solely

to the example that American presidents are sworn in with

one hand on the Bible.  Putting aside Refah's vague

explanation, let's look at what the American model of

secularism is, exactly?  The United States includes almost

all of the religions in the world.  In terms of national

integrity, secularism seems to be the only way for the

United States.  The first article of the American

Constitution clearly states that the Congress can neither

establish a religion nor prevent a religion from being

freely practiced.  According to political scientists, an

American president speaks for 'a civil religion' embracing

all Americans when he says 'God bless America.'  It seems

that what Turkey really needs is the term 'pluralism.'"  



"Integration With Europe At The Top Of Turkey's Diplomatic

Agenda"



Sami Kohen said in mass-appeal Milliyet (2/18), "This week

will be an important watershed in Turkey's relations with

Europe and the United States, or, in general terms, with

the West.  This 'exam week' coincides with new U.S.

Secretary of State Albright's putting Turkey's place in the

Western community, along with many other international

issues, on her agenda during her first overseas visit.   

One element of exam week is the special NATO foreign

ministers' meeting to be held in Brussels today.  In the

course of discussions on NATO's 'expansion' policy, Foreign

Minister Tansu Ciller will try to explain why and under

what circumstances Turkey may be forced to play its 'NATO

card.'...



"In the words of Onur Oymen, the under secretary of the

Ministry of Foreign Affairs, relations with Europe will

remain 'at the top of Turkey's diplomatic agenda.'  What

that means is that integration with Europe is the highest

priority objective of Turkish foreign policy today.  The

presence of the Welfare Party at the head of the Turkish

government as the senior coalition partner does not change

this objective and its priority, at least for now.  Prime

Minister Necmettin Erbakan's recent warning to NATO

Secretary General Solana that 'we will oppose NATO's

expansion policy if the EU does not open its doors to

Turkey' suggests that even the Refah [Welfare Party] leader

has endorsed integration with Europe as Ankara's primary

goal--contrary to what he said in the past."



"Turkey, NATO And The EU"



Cengiz Candar commented in mass-appeal Sabah (2/4), "We

were at NATO headquarters in Brussels a few days ago....  A

NATO official referred to the July 8-9 meeting in Madrid as

the 'most important summit in NATO's history.'  In other

words, we are very close to the most important summit in

NATO's half century of life and how can Turkey shape its

relations with NATO through 'threats' and 'blackmail'? 

Why?  Because Turkey's EU membership is not guaranteed. 

But NATO is one thing and the EU is something quite

different....  Why is Turkey attracting the wrath, not only

of the EU, but all the NATO countries, including non-EU

member like the United States, and Central and East

European countries?...  Pursuing a policy linking NATO to

the EU is not only wrong but stupid as well.  What one

ought to ask, in fact, is:  'Is it necessary for Turkey to

be a full EU member?'" 

 

"A Game That May End In Disappointment"



Sami Kohen cautioned in mass-appeal Milliyet (2/4), "It is

very risky to play an EU gambit with the NATO card.  This

game may end in disappointment."  



GERMANY:   "Christian Occident Slams The Door On Turkey" 



Peter Pastorius commented on regional radio Hessischer 

Rundfunk of Frankfurt (3/6): "The Christian Occident has

slammed the door in  Turkey's face with a loud bang.  The

holy alliance 





of the Christian Democratic Party and  government leaders

with Helmut Kohl at the top used brutal frankness and  told

the Turks that they would never be able to join the

European  Union....  But Turkey is already a member of the

Customs Union with the  EU, and the vast internal market

ends at the external borders of Turkey.   Turkey is a

member of NATO and...has increasingly turned into a 

bridgehead to the world of Islamic fundamentalism.... 



"Nobody will be able to reverse this decision of the

Christian  Democratic leaders.  Kohl and his friends have

put their foot down, and  again gave evidence of the small-

mindedness of the Europeans in strategic  questions.  With

the enlargement to the East, the EU already has enough 

problems....  This was an unwise move.  Europe is now 

closing its borders.  And human rights are a welcome

pretext.  If Turkey  does not really drift to the camp of

radicals, then the second worst  solution would be to set

up a special relationship with Russia, and  Europe would

have to pay dearly for such a relationship." 



"Rejection Carries A Price"



Stefan Avenarius maintained in an editorial in centrist

Sueddeutsche  Zeitung of Munich (3/6), "Only Dutch Foreign

Minister van Mierlo dared to tell the  truth.  Turkey is an

Islamic country, which is the reason why it has no  seat in

the European Union.  We can be surprised at these

arguments, since we can wonder whether we still live in the

era of the crusades....  It is a fact that the doors will

remain closed for Turkey.  But the  Europeans should be

aware of the fact that such a sharp rejection will  have

its price.  Turkey is more than a country of migrant

workers.  For  the West, Turkey is a strategically

important country at the crossroads between  Russia, the

Middle East and Central Asia.  This is why Europe must

offer  compensations that will offer Turkey advantages,

otherwise Turkey will turn to other neighbors."



"A Russo-Turkish Alliance?"



Centrist General-Anzeiger of Bonn carried this editorial

comment (2/7) by Thomas Wittke regarding the success of the

Madrid summit in furthering NATO's enlargement: "If the

concept fails because of a Russian-Turkish alliance, a

massive loss of NATO's authority would be inevitable."



"U.S., Turkey And EU"  



Bernd Pickert said in a front-page editorial in left-of-

center Die Tageszeitung of Berlin (1/31),  "The U.S.

government is deeply concerned--and has fallen hard.  The

day before yesterday, Turkey's Foreign Minister Tansu

Ciller  embarrassed her European colleagues and said that

Turkey would block  NATO's enlargement to the East if

Turkey is not accepted in the EU.  This  is a brazen

blackmail attempt.  Now State Department spokesman Nicholas 

Burns called upon the EU not to make human rights questions

an obstacle to  Turkey's acceptance in the EU.  He added

that, for strategic reasons,  Turkey's position in Europe

needs to be strengthened.  This is a kowtow  to the foreign

minister whose reputation has been ruined long since.... 

The United States plays  Turkey's tune, because it needs

cooperation with the Turkish NATO partner regarding Iraq

and is also trying to play a mediator role in the Cyprus 

conflict....



"Currently, nobody wants to accept Turkey in the EU.  As

long as the  conflict with Greece over Cyprus and the

controversial problems in the  Aegean Sea have not been

resolved, it seems to be too much for the EU to withstand

such a row between EU members.  In future, the human rights 

question will then turn out to be of secondary importance."





"U.S. Ignorance About Europe"



Adrian Zielcke judged in an editorial in centrist

Stuttgarter  Zeitung (1/31), "The United States is right

when it points out that Turkey's  strategic value can

hardly be overestimated.  However, 





the pompous advice from Washington that Turkey should be

accepted in the EU despite its  human rights violations

only shows the increase in the degree of  ignorance in

Washington about European developments.  A country as

problematic as Turkey, which does not know its own path to

the future,  would bring along enormous problems to the EU-

-in a union that has  enough difficulties shaping its own

future." 



"NATO And Turkey"



National radio station Deutschlandfunk of  Cologne (1/29)

aired this commentary: "The Europeans should realize that

the Turkish ally will continue to  raise demands to the

West as far as economic and security policies are 

concerned....  However, Turkey's Foreign Minister Tansu

Ciller signaled  in Rome that a different approach is also

possible.  If the Europeans do  not change their minds,

there is, in addition to the Islamic card, also a  Russian

card in the poker game in the Middle East.  But how

realistic are such threatening gestures?  If Turkey were 

not such a close European trading partner, its economy

would be in an  even worse state.  And if the Americans had

not made the Ankara  government its most important ally

against Saddam Hussein and Assad, Turkey would never have

turned into a regional power in the Middle East.   But the

West, too, must be interested in Turkey not giving up its 

democratic development and falling back into the Orient,

because, despite  all the rows, the Turkish Republic

continues to be a factor of stability  at NATO's critical

southeastern flank."



BRITAIN:   "Erbakan Should Listen To Turkey's Army" 



The conservative Times' editorial pointed out (2/28):

"Turkey is a pivotal member of NATO.  Its integrity and

democracy are vital not only to regional stability but to

the Atlantic Alliance as a whole.  Turkish democracy now

looks increasingly imperilled....  Tension is running high

and rumors are rife.  The threat of a military coup is

everywhere.  To dismiss the army's concern as bluster is to

underestimate its power and growing dismay at the fumbling

of Necmettin Erbakan's ill-matched coalition.  Turkey's

military establishment is far from happy.... 



"Yet no one wants the army to step in, as it did in 1960

and 1980.  It would be a disastrous setback for Turkish

democracy and encourage Islamic underground fanaticism. 

President Demirel has no power to dismiss the prime

minister.  But he and the army officers can warn him of the

dangers of his political course.  For the sake of Turkey

and the Alliance, he should listen."



FRANCE:   "Washington Campaigns For Turkey's Entry In EU"



Right-of-center Les Echos' editorial remarked (3/13):

"Americans have a  tendency to think that something which

is not good for the United States is good  for Europe.

Turkey does not fit their bill....  But when it is a

question of  having a strategic position for NATO on the

front steps of Central Asia  and the Gulf region, then U.S.

criticism is toned down....  When it comes to  the EU,

Washington does not hide its pro-active campaign to have

Turkey  become a member....  The United States is probably

trying to avoid seeing Turkey's  threats become reality:

blocking NATO's expansion if the EU leaves them  out.... 

Not to mention the fact that the United States prefers to

see Europe as just  a free trade zone rather than as a real

political entity."



"NATO's Stronghold On Southern Front"



Jacques Malmassari told readers of right-of-center France

Soir (3/6): "All it takes  is a look at an atlas to

understand how a political change in Ankara  would really

affect the West.  Close to the Middle East, bordering on

the  Caucasus and Central Asia, Turkey is NATO's stronghold

on the southern  front.  The loss of that position would

give the East a considerable  advantage in its competition

with the West."







ITALY:  "For A European Turkey"



An editorial in provocative, classical liberal Il Foglio

said (1/31): "It would not be wise for Europe to deprive

itself of its  traditional Turkish ally, risking pushing it

into the arms of Islamic extremists, just to do Russia a

questionable favor....  The road to  Turkey's integration

with the EU is full of obstacles, from Cyprus and 

fundamentalism to human rights, problems which we need to

resolve with  complicated negotiations, as the Italian

government is proposing.  And  appeals in this direction

(albeit made in bulldozer-style) by Secretary  of State

Albright express a concern which we should share." 



"Euro-Turkey"



An editorial in left-leaning, influential La Repubblica 

concluded (1/31): "Turkey is a country which needs to

resolve very serious problems that weigh considerably on

its democratic development, first of all, respect for human

rights, the war with the Kurds, the dispute with Greece.  

And Europe has to show total intransigence on these.  But

we absolutely  cannot give up the opportunity for trade,

communication and intellectual exchange that Turkey can

offer Europe.  We risk abandoning Ankara's democracy to

itself--with the serious threat of instability--and leaving

in  somebody else's hands the huge number of opportunities

which that country  could instead reserve for this side of

the barricade.  The firm warning  issued yesterday to the

Europeans by the United States goes in that  direction."



"Ciller:  'Europe At All Costs'"



Centrist, top-circulation Corriere della Sera (1/30) said:

"Tansu Ciller  warned that, in order to achieve full

membership in the European Union,  Turkey is ready even to

oppose the expansion of NATO, of which it has  been a

member for years, should its expectations be frustrated

again....  But the Turkish  government's determination to

become a full partner in the EU still clashes with problems

which remain unsolved: the respect for human  rights, with

special reference to the Kurdish question, and democratic

rules; Cyprus and difficult relations with Greece....  The

United States yesterday intervened on this point,

criticizing the European allies for the new conditions

regarding human rights posed for Turkey's membership in the

EU: 'We need to look at  the overall picture of our

relations with Turkey,' said State Department spokesman

Burns. 'We believe Ankara's integration in Europe is

important, despite the fact that there are still problems

concerning human rights.'" 



RUSSIA:  "Army Vs. The People" 



According to Polina Makarova and Ivan Lensky in reformist,

business-oriented Kommersant Daily (3/13):  "The generals'

problem is that they are trying to tame a popular figure

(Premier Erbakan), who came to power via a legitimate,

democratic process, and is as yet uninvolved in fraud. 

They are hard put to disprove that the army is acting

against its own people, following instructions from

outside.  The generals would hate to use extreme measures,

since they would then have to take control over the whole

country, finding it hard to explain against whom they are

going to 'protect' it this time." 



"Turkish Scare" 



Reformist Izvestia (1/31) published this comment by

Vladimir Mikheyev: "Americans urge their allies not to

require too much of those seeking EU membership, which

implies less criticism for human rights violations.  At the

same time, they accuse Turkey of numerous cases of power

abuse, including with regard to Kurds.  It turns out that

Americans think some things are more important than human

rights, and this is exactly what Tansu Ciller counted on

when she threatened a veto on NATO's expansion decision."







"Turkey May Foil NATO Plans" 



Dmitry Gornostayev and Alexander Reutov in centrist

Nezavisimaya Gazeta, referring to the statement by the

Turkish foreign minister threatening to veto NATO

expansion, noted (1/30): "Tansu Ciller's warning may solve

the problem for Moscow.....  NATO's plans may crumble

overnight, with the Alliance unable to do anything about

it....  No doubt, Ciller's statement is welcome news to

Russia, which, fighting a lone hand, has so far been unable

to make NATO abandon its plans.  The problem may get

resolved by itself, of course, unless Turkey and NATO reach

a compromise."



AUSTRIA:  "Raised Eyebrows"



Foreign affairs writer Otmar Lahodynsky commented in

widely-read Kurier (2/20), "Albright knows Europe better

than her predecessors back to Henry Kissinger....  Her

advice that Europe should not lose time in accepting Turkey

as a full member, however, caused many a raised eyebrow in

Europe, as Albright's move is interpreted as Washington

support for Turkey's blackmailing attempt of not agreeing

to the expansion of NATO should the EU not admit Turkey to

the Union."



"Inappropriate Interference"



Conservative, quality Die Presse's foreign affairs writer

Andreas Schwarz responded to the U.S. call on Turkey and

the EU (1/31), "With 'artificial conditions,' Albright was,

of course, referring to the sorry state of the human rights

situation in Turkey.  This situation is one of the reasons

why Austria continues to have reservations against Ankara

(while in the United States, human rights concerns seem to

be taken somewhat less seriously these days).   And when

she talks about Turkey's 'place in Europe,' Albright is

referring to an admission of Turkey into the European

Union, for which Ankara will once again apply in the

spring. 



"Why is Washington suddenly intervening in favor of its

NATO partner, considering how angry Washington has been

with Turkey lately, particularly about Prime Minister

Erbakan's deliberate rapprochement with Tehran?  The United

States is afraid that Turkey might drift toward the Islamic

world.  Understandably, the United States has an enormous

interest in retaining the good will of the partner at its

eastern flank.  (Those who dream that nevermore will there

be a threat from the East are located in Europe rather than

in the United States).  And the United States does take

seriously the Turkish threat of blocking NATO's expansion

toward the East, should Turkey be rejected as a candidate

for EU membership.  Washington needs anything but more

trouble with the issue of NATO expansion.  This nervousness

explains the Americans' inappropriate interference with a

theoretically purely European issue." 



BELGIUM:  "Classical Example Of Ottoman Blackmail"



In his weekly editorial, chief editor Frans Verleyen

maintained in liberal weekly Knack magazine (2/26), "The

Turkish government...has already let it be known that it

will cast a veto  against NATO's plans if it does not have

the certainty in advance that it will be allowed to enter

into the European Union.  It is thus linking a military

scheme to a political one.  That is a classic example of

Ottoman blackmail.  Consequently, Washington is insisting

prudently with the Union to give the Turks what they want. 

(Washington prefers) a problem country full of Islam and

light on human rights in the Union than a blocked NATO."



"Can EU Extend To Turkey?"



In conservative Catholic La Libre Belgique (2/6), Marc

Opsomer pointed out regarding the Turkish statement linking

enlargement to EU membership:  "That kind of blackmail

should not have any influence on the decision which the

Fifteen might eventually take, even though 





Washington already proclaims that it is imperative that

Turkey be integrated in  'all' European institutions.  The

problem does not come simply from the fact that

Turkey....is a 'big Muslim country':  Islam is already the

number-two religion in many European countries, including

Belgium and France.   



"However, one must wonder whether the European Union, which

practices the free flow of persons, would be capable of

'absorbing' a possible important additional influx of

Turkish population, and whether it is Europe's calling to

extend to...Asia (only three percent of the 780,000 square

kilometers of the Turkish territory are in Europe) and

whether it is advisable to integrate into the European

Union a nation whose destiny has been and still seems to be

so different.  These are the questions, among others, which

will have to be answered.  But one must keep in mind that

the choice will be decisive and that a second chance will

not present itself and that if Turkey were not to be in the

Union, it would probably turn away from Europe and from the

West." 

     

GREECE:   "Does Turkey Belong In Europe?"



Center-left, pro-Pasok Kiriakatiki Elevtherotipia (3/9)

observed, "Recently, the European Christian Democrats

declared that 'Turkey does not belong to the EU.'  The day

before yesterday, [Foreign Minister] Thedhoros Pangalos

surprised many when he said: 'Turkey certainly belongs to

Europe.  It is a great part of European history.  If Turkey

is not a part of European history, then neither is Greece.'

Theodhoros Pangalos' answer is correct but not complete. 

Of course Turkey is part of European history since it

occupied a large part of Eastern Europe--up to the entrance

to Vienna--for 400 years and affected the European facts. 

But Turkey is not a part of European civilization.  On the

contrary, this is the difference that the foreign minister

probably does not ignore, but did not point out, obviously

for diplomatic reasons....



"So the question is: Should Turkey be outside or inside

Europe so that it can be helped effectively and not become

more dangerous?  And under what conditions do the 15 want

it in Europe?...  The main goal is Turkey's

democratization, which should happen not through words but

through acts of respect for human rights, international

law, and the international treaties and agreements.  This

and only this is the road to a substantive approach with

Europe.  Greece would have no reason to obstruct this."



"If Ankara Accepts Europe's Proposals"



Independent, center-right Kathimerini (2/19) concluded

regarding European proposals to solve the Greek-Turkish

dispute and the Cyprus issue, "The moment of truth about

Turkey is probably coming after a long period of stalemate,

conflagration, fruitless efforts, blind threats, pompous

inflexibility, and even the unrestrained stepping up of

demands.  European diplomacy is preparing itself to promote

an initiative that could achieve disengagement in both the

Greek-Turkish problem and the Cyprus issue, with Ankara

seeing reason and abandoning its extreme positions and

aims, tempted by Turkey's expedited march toward Europe....



"The fate of this initiative will depend entirely on

Ankara, which will undertake the responsibility of

accepting it or rejecting it.  If Ankara rejects this

initiative, then the door to Europe closes and the door to

Islamism opens, something that will be averted (at all

costs) by the Americans.  If Ankara accepts and respects

this initiative, then conditions of security will prevail

in both Greece and Cyprus with all that this would entail

for the undistracted devotion of Hellenism to development

and progress. All this would happen in the best case.  In

the worst case, that is, if Turkey accepts the initiative

but does not respect it, then the economic aid might be

suspended and the Turkish representatives dismissed from

the EU committees.  From this perspective, the European bet

is really interesting since it makes Turkey a hostage of

its own aims and compels it to choose an identity."





HUNGARY:  "Turkey's Trump Card:  Enlargement"



Influential, liberal Magyar Hirlap (3/10) commented, "The

Erbakan-Ciller leadership in Ankara is  well aware of

Turkey's strategic role so they decided to use the trump

card:  Unless Turkey is  admitted to the EU, it is ready to

block the NATO membership of Central European countries. 

It  seems that the West is unable to handle this situation. 

Ankara can in fact veto NATO  enlargement and Secretary

General Solana had to admit this recently.  What is more,

Turkey is no  longer ready to settle for small

concessions....  Given the risk of Turkey becoming an even

stronger  Islam state, NATO member countries have become

very lenient towards Turkey: The EU as well  as NATO are

both confident that Turkey must be kept close to the

European Union because if  it is left alone, the country

will become the ideal soil for extreme nationalistic and 

religious ideologies." 



"Turkey Vs. Greece"



Top-circulation Nepszabadsag (3/1) held, "The West  faces

the problem created by having admitted countries with

irreconcilable national conflicts.  Turkey has no place in

the EU for two reasons: First it is not mature enough for

membership and second  because Greece would veto its

request for membership anyway.  Turkey in return wants to

take  revenge for this humiliating Greek policy on Hungary,

Poland and the Czech Republic by  threatening to veto their

membership in NATO.  By doing so, Turkey has of course

infuriated other  members of the Alliance....  Greece is no

better, either: They have decided to veto EU  enlargement

unless in the issue of Cyprus's membership in the Union the

EU backs Greece's point of  view.  I believe that this will

never happen: Turkey is a strategically very valuable

(NATO) ally and thus through Cyprus, the EU wants to offer

the country some kind of a representation in the EU.  It

remains to be seen whether the stubborn Greeks, who view

these plans as 'mad and  evil' can be convinced of this or

not." 



"Turkey's Lesson"



Mass-appeal weekly Magyar Narancs (2/6)  remarked, "Turkey

is a key country for NATO....  The Turkish leadership is

not  stupid: They know very well that the Turkish military

is far more valuable that the miserable 'operetta-

militaries' of the three Central European countries likely

to be invited.  The Turkish military  has once again become

a marketable product like during the Gulf War.  It is very

unlikely that Turkey will succeed in its attempt to

threaten  NATO but Eastern Europeans should learn from the

Turkish example.   Membership in NATO or in the OECD does

not automatically mean membership in the European Union. 

If a country  does not have strong enough bargaining

positions, it may easily find that no matter what  previous

achievements it has, the gates to the EU close before it

can get in." 



"Turkey's Threat"



Leading N pszabadsag (1/30) remarked, "Although Turkish

Foreign Minister Tansu Ciller stated that Turkey is only

interested in full membership in  the EU, it seems obvious

that the Islam country would not be welcome in the club of

affluent  European states.  To make things worse, Ankara

started to threaten NATO recently that unless the  country

is granted full membership in the EU, it will veto NATO

enlargement.  The situation is  made even more complicated

because of the Greek-Turkish conflict in Cyprus. The EU

will  soon have to start membership negotiations with

Cyprus, too and Greece has already hinted  that should

these talks fail, it is determined to veto the EU

membership of Central European  states.



"There are other concerns in the West, too: Western

countries are afraid  that as a result of the crisis in

Cyprus and the stagnation of its ties with the EU, Turkey

may  turn towards its Muslim neighbors, thus causing a

serious conflict within NATO.  The time to make compromises

has arrived.  The Turks want the world to  take them

seriously." 





NORWAY:  "Weighty Reasons Militate Against Turkey" 



Social Democratic Arbeiderbladet accused Turkey of

attempting to  blackmail its way into the EU, adding

(2/10), "The Turkish attempt to hold NATO hostage to force

its way into the EU is intolerable.  Weighty reasons

militate against Turkish EU membership, including its

occupation of Cyprus, its human rights violations, and the

war against the Kurds. The country is soiled  by extensive

torture in its prisons, death squadrons murdering political

dissidents, politically motivated arrests, and political

prisoners.... Turkey's serious domestic problems cannot be

solved through  EU membership.  At this point in time, EU

membership would increase Turkey's problems and seriously

compromise the EU's principal values. The Turkish elite

must straighten up Turkey, stop the assassins and assaults,

and go for democratization, a healthy economy and social

equality.  Leading NATO and EU countries must make it

absolutely clear that only this  development, and not

blackmail, can bring Turkey to the position the country

desires  in Europe." 



"Turkey Becoming A Problem For Europe"



The Ciller remarks prompted this editorial in conservative

Aftenposten (2/3), "Once again, Turkey is becoming a

problem for Europe....  It is very rude, not to say

unforgivable, of one Alliance partner to behave in such a

way that it disturbs the transition process from within. 

It is complicated and sensitive enough as it is. Turkey's

threat is sheer blackmail, and should be treated

accordingly.... The United States has made the unusual step

of pressuring the EU to open its doors to Turkey....  We

see this as a signal that the Unitd States intends to put

less emphasis on human rights in its foreign policies."



SERBIA-MONTENEGRO:  "U.S. Imposing Turkey As Balkans'

Regional 'Boss'" 



Belgrade centrist, pro-government Vecernje Novosti (2/20)

declared in a commentary by Andjelko Dragojevic: "For all

Christian peoples of Southeastern Europe, the most

important question is whether the Turkish turban--which

now, as the regional U.S. boss, does not hide its old

pretensions--is coming back to its Ottoman borders.  That

strategically corresponds the interests of the United

States and Europe--to secure, through Turkey, not only

peaceful and cheap sources of oil, but also routes to

transport oil from the Near East.  Germany is no longer--as

Holbrooke unthoughtfully and crudely said--our Christian

wall!  That is Turkey now.  (Turkey 'against' the Eastern

'Islamism!')  However, are now--and particularly in the

future--the interests of Europe (after all, German Europe)

a little different than those of the United States?...



"The problems of Kurds, aggressiveness toward Cyprus,

inflation, human rights...all these are the reasons for

distancing oneself from Turkey, when it starts hurrying too

much toward its main interest--the European Union and its

capital.  Apprehensive, with justification, of the

biological and other kinds of Muslim expansion, Europe is

at the moment even more concerned about the Islamic

government of Erbakan, which does not hide its

fundamentalist activities in the region....  With its huge

number of inhabitants, Turkey would be nearly the first

European power according to the number of seats and votes

in the EU parliament....  Through Turkey, the United States

would control both the right Turkish wing of the Asian

republics of the former USSR and the left southeastern wing

of the Mediterranean and of Europe, which in future it must

see as its rival."



SPAIN:  "EU Needs To Offer A Solution" 



Liberal El Pais of Madrid's editorial noted (3/6): "It is

understandable  that the leaders of the popular European

parties, including Kohl and Aznar, have slammed the door on 

Turkey.  Turkey leaves much to be desired in terms of

respect for human rights, and the  increasing Islamic

trends present all kinds of problems.  Nevertheless, the

EU...needs to offer another  





solution....  Leaving Turkey out amounts to aggravating its

internal problems....  Doing nothing  will not solve the

problems."



SWITZERLAND:  "Europe Dreads Turkey's Candidacy"



Philippe Dumartheray commented in centrist Tribune de

Gen ve (1/31), "Wednesday evening in Washington, Madeleine

Albright--mincing no words,  as usual--met with EU leaders

and confided: 'We ought to bring Turkey  into the main

Western institutions, not just NATO, and strengthen its 

ties with the European Union.'  EU officials didn't have to

decode the message:  Washington wishes, and  that's a

euphemism, to make Turkey part of Europe as soon as

possible. 



"These same EU officials don't even bother reminding

Albright of Europe's  warm feelings toward Turkey. They're

well aware that such words ooze  hypocrisy and that the

Americans wouldn't be fooled.  Neither would the  Turks. In

short, Europe dreads Turkey's candidacy and will do all 

within its means to keep Turkey out of the 'Christian

club.'...  The Americans, meanwhile, are having a harder

time biting their tongues.  Washington is wooing Turkey as

part of its plan to isolate Iran. But  during Rafsanjani's

recent trip to Ankara, in December, the two nations 

decided to build tanks and helicopters together.

Furthermore, Iranian gas  will be piped via Turkey starting

this year.  



"No surprise, then, that Americans are eager to cut short

this Turkish-Iranian honeymoon by pushing Turkey into the

arms of a Europe  which, without daring to admit it, is not

exactly thrilled by the  prospect of an Eastern bride."  



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Telephone: (202) 619-4355



                                                         

3/14/97

         



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