
DATE= 11/9/97 TYPE=CORRESPONDENT REPORT NUMBER=2-222389 TITLE=CYPRUS MEETING PREVIEW (LONG) BYLINE=AL PESSIN DATELINE=JERUSALEM CONTENT= VOICED AT: INTRO: PRESIDENT CLINTON'S SPECIAL ENVOY FOR CYPRUS, RICHARD HOLBROOKE, BEGINS HIS FIRST VISIT TO THE ISLAND MONDAY WITH TENSION BETWEEN GREECE AND TURKEY HIGH AND RELATIONS BETWEEN THE ISLAND'S GREEK AND TURKISH SECTORS SET TO BREAK DOWN EARLY NEXT YEAR IF SOME AGREEMENT IS NOT REACHED. AL PESSIN REPORTS FROM NICOSIA ON THE ISSUES AND SHARPLY DIFFERENT POSITIONS THAT AWAIT MR. HOLBROOKE. TEXT: THIS SMALL ISLAND IN THE EASTERN MEDITERRANEAN HAS BEEN A POINT OF TENSION FOR MORE THAN 30-YEARS, WITH FIGHTING BETWEEN ITS MAINLY ETHNIC GREEK AND TURKISH SECTORS BOTH REFLECTING AND INCREASING TENSION BETWEEN GREECE AND TURKEY. THAT TENSION NEARLY LED TO FIGHTING LAST MONTH WHEN TURKISH WAR PLANES CHALLENGED GREEK AIR FORCE PLANES DURING MILITARY MANEUVERS. ON CYPRUS, THE SITUATION HAS BEEN GENERALLY TENSE FOR MANY YEARS, VIOLENCE HAS BROKEN OUT FROM TIME TO TIME. PRESIDENT CLINTON TRIED TO MEDIATE A SETTLEMENT EARLY IN HIS FIRST TERM, BUT FAILED. NOW, IN HIS SECOND TERM, HE HAS APPOINTED THE VETERAN DIPLOMAT RICHARD HOLBROOKE -- THE MAN WHO MEDIATED THE SEEMINGLY-IMPOSSIBLE BOSNIA SETTLEMENT -- TO TRY TO DO THE SAME FOR CYPRUS. MR. HOLBROOKE HAS ANOTHER DAUNTING TASK AHEAD OF HIM. THE SOUTHERN, MAINLY GREEK, SECTOR OF THE ISLAND, KNOWN AS THE REPUBLIC OF CYPRUS, HAS APPLIED FOR MEMBERSHIP IN THE EUROPEAN UNION, AND NEGOTIATIONS ON ITS ACCESSION ARE TO BEGIN IN APRIL. THE SMALLER, MAINLY TURKISH NORTHERN SECTOR, WHICH DECLARED ITS INDEPENDENCE IN 1974, SAYS IF THOSE TALKS START, ALL TALK OF REUNITING THE ISLAND WILL END. THE GREEK SIDE HAS ALSO ORDERED RUSSIAN-MADE ANTI-AIRCRAFT MISSILES FOR DELIVERY NEXT SUMMER, A MOVE THE TURKISH SIDE SEES VIRTUALLY AS AN ACT OF WAR. THE NORTHERN SECTOR BROKE AWAY AFTER A BRIEF, BUT BLOODY AND BITTER, WAR WHICH FOLLOWED A GREEK-BACKED COUP AND A TURKISH INVASION, BUT ONLY TURKEY RECOGNIZES THE NORTHERN GOVERNMENT. VARIOUS SETS OF NEGOTIATIONS IN THE 1970'S SET UP A FRAMEWORK FOR RE-UNIFICATION, BASED ON A VAGUE CONCEPT CALLED BI-COMMUNALITY. BUT THE TWO SIDES HAVE NEVER BEEN ABLE TO AGREE ON JUST HOW TO IMPLEMENT THAT IDEA. A SOLUTION SEEMS NO CLOSER TODAY. THE TURKISH SIDE, WITH ONLY 18-PERCENT OF THE POPULATION, INSISTS ON EQUALITY IN A NEW CYPRIOT FEDERATION. THE GREEK SIDE, IS RELUCTANT TO GIVE UP THAT MUCH POWER. MR. HOLBROOKE IS EXPECTED TO BRING THE GREEK-SIDE LEADER GLAFKOS CLERIDES AND THE TURKISH-SIDE LEADER RAUF DENKTASH TOGETHER ON TUESDAY, BUT NO QUICK SOLUTION IS EXPECTED. THE TWO ELDERLY LEADERS HAVE BEEN INVOLVED IN SIMILAR NEGOTIATIONS FOR MORE THAN 30-YEARS. THEY BOTH SAY THEY WANT A SETTLEMENT, AND BOTH SIDES POINT TO THE EUROPEAN ISSUE AND THE MISSILES, AS NEW MOTIVATIONS. BUT IN TWO RECENT MEETINGS MR. CLERIDES AND MR. DENKTASH HAVE NOT BEEN ABLE TO MAKE ANY PROGRESS, AND HAVE ACTUALLY INCREASED TENSIONS SOMEWHAT. MR. DENKTASH DESCRIBES THE MUCH-ANTICIPATED HOLBROOKE VISIT AS DESIGNED ONLY TO RE-ESTABLISH CONTACT, NOT TO HAVE SUBSTANTIVE DISCUSSIONS. WHILE MR. CLERIDES SAYS HE WOULD LIKE TO MOVE FORWARD, HE IS FACING ELECTIONS IN FEBRUARY. (SIGNED) NEB/AWP/RAE 09-Nov-97 3:09 PM EST (2009 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .