
DATE=5/3/99 TYPE=CORRESPONDENT REPORT NUMBER=2-248908 TITLE==NORTH KOREA ECON (L - ONLY) BYLINE=MAX RUSTON DATELINE=UNITED NATIONS CONTENT= VOICED AT: INTRO: THE CHIEF U-S NEGOTIATOR WITH NORTH KOREA SAYS HE EXPECTS THAT COUNTRY'S ECONOMY TO BEGIN IMPROVING SOON -- A DEVELOPMENT THAT COULD HELP IT OPEN TO THE OUTSIDE WORLD. V-O-A CORRESPONDENT MAX RUSTON REPORTS FROM NEW YORK. TEXT: AMBASSADOR CHARLES KARTMAN IS INVOLVED IN THE MOST DIFFICULT NEGOTIATIONS NOW UNDERWAY WITH NORTH KOREA. THEY INCLUDE TALKS AIMED AT ESTABLISHING A PEACE TREATY TO FORMALLY END THE KOREAN WAR AND EFFORTS TO PREVENT NORTH KOREA FROM BUILDING NUCLEAR WEAPONS. MR. KARTMAN SAYS IT IS TOO EARLY TO TELL IF PROGRESS HAS BEEN MADE IN THOSE NEGOTIATIONS. BUT HE SAYS HE DOES EXPECT THE CLIMATE SURROUNDING THOSE TALKS TO IMPROVE OVER THE NEXT YEAR. THE REASON, HE SAYS, IS THAT NORTH KOREA'S ECONOMY APPEARS TO HAVE BOTTOMED-OUT AND THE COUNTRY'S LONG-ISOLATED GOVERNMENT IS NOW PREPARING FOR IMPROVED ECONOMIC PROSPECTS, ALONG WITH EXPANDED TIES WITH OTHER COUNTRIES. /// KARTMAN ACT /// FOR NORTH KOREA THIS IS PROBABLY A TRANSITION YEAR. THE TRANSITION BETWEEN THE NORTH KOREA WHICH WAS DEATHLY AFRAID OF ENGAGING THE OUTSIDE WORLD AND UNABLE TO GIVE UP SOME OF ITS OLD DOGMA OF THREATENING THE SOUTH, HOLDING THE U-S AS THE DEVIL -- THE OLD KIM IL-SUNG YEARS, AND THEN THE YEARS OF MOURNING -- TO NEXT YEAR, WHICH WILL BE SOMETHING A BIT DIFFERENT, PARTICULARLY ON THE ECONOMIC SIDE, OF FIRMLY UNDER THE CONTROL OF KIM JONG-IL, KIM IL-SUNG'S SON, WITH MUCH MORE ROBUST RELATIONS WITH ALL OF THE KEY OTHER FOREIGN ACTORS. /// END ACT /// MR. KARTMAN SAYS THAT BASED ON HIS KNOWLEDGE OF NORTH KOREA, IT IS CLEAR THAT THE GOVERNMENT REALIZES IT MUST IMPROVE THE COUNTRY'S ECONOMY, WHICH HAS BEEN DETERIORATING STEADILY OVER THE PAST DECADE. HE SAYS ONE HAS TO ASSUME THAT NORTH KOREA'S PLANS TO IMPROVE THE ECONOMY INCLUDE MEASURES TO INCREASE ENGAGEMENT WITH THE REST OF THE WORLD, PARTICULARLY IN THE ECONOMIC AREA. EXAMPLES OF THIS INTENTION, HE SAYS, INCLUDE PLANS TO SIGN A TREATY OF AMITY WITH RUSSIA AND PLANS FOR HIGH LEVEL VISITS TO BEIJING OVER THE NEXT FEW MONTHS -- BOTH OF WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO HAVE STRONG ECONOMIC COMPONENTS. MR. KARTMAN SAYS NORTH KOREA HAS NOT YET MADE ITS INTENTIONS CLEAR IN ONE OF ITS MOST IMPORTANT OPPORTUNITIES FOR ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT -- THAT IS SOUTH KOREA'S OFFER OF WIDE RANGING ECONOMIC ENGAGEMENT. MR. KARTMAN SAYS ACCEPTANCE OF THAT OFFER WOULD BE THE SINGLE MOST IMPORTANT MOVE NORTH KOREA COULD MAKE TO BRING ABOUT WHAT HE CALLS "THE BEGINNING OF A NEW SITUATION." MR. KARTMAN MADE THE REMARKS AT AN ECONOMIC FORUM AT THE NEW YORK-BASED ASIA SOCIETY. NORTH KOREA HAS REJECTED MOST AID OFFERS FROM SOUTH KOREA IN THE PAST. DIPLOMATS SAY NORTH KOREA IS SUSPICIOUS OF THE SOUTH AND BELIEVES IT WILL TRY TO USE AID TO UNDERMINE THE GOVERNMENT. THEY SAY ACCEPTANCE OF AID FROM THE SOUTH WOULD ALSO WEAKEN NORTH KOREA'S DOMESTIC CLAIM THAT IT IS ECONOMICALLY SUPERIOR TO THE SOUTH. (SIGNED) NEB/UN/MPR/LSF/PHW/PT 03-May-99 5:46 PM EDT (2146 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .