
DATE=11/17/98 TYPE=CORRESPONDENT REPORT NUMBER=2-241802 TITLE=IRAQ / U-N RETURNS (L) BYLINE=SCOTT BOBB DATELINE=KUWAIT CITY CONTENT= VOICED AT: INTRO: EIGHTY-SIX U-N WEAPONS INSPECTORS HAVE RETURNED TO IRAQ FROM BAHRAIN AND 120 U-N RELIEF WORKERS RETURNED FROM JORDAN -- A FEW DAYS AFTER THE LATEST CONFRONTATION BETWEEN IRAQ AND THE UNITED NATIONS WAS DEFUSED. V-O-A MIDDLE EAST CORRESPONDENT SCOTT BOBB REPORTS GOVERNMENTS IN THE REGION ARE NOT OPTIMISTIC THAT THE IRAQI GOVERNMENT WILL NOW FULLY COMPLY WITH U-N DEMANDS. TEXT: U-N SPOKESWOMAN CAROLINE CROSS TOLD REPORTERS THE INSPECTORS WOULD RESUME THEIR WORK BY WEDNESDAY. SHE SAID THE IRAQI AUTHORITIES HAVE PROMISED COOPERATION, BUT ADDED THAT THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL BE VERY IMPORTANT. U-N OFFICIALS SAY THE INSPECTORS WILL BE ABLE TO RESUME ROUTINE MONITORING ALMOST IMMEDIATELY, BUT THAT INSPECTIONS OF NEW SITES WILL TAKE MORE TIME. IRAQ SUSPENDED NEW INSPECTIONS LAST AUGUST AND ROUTINE INSPECTIONS THREE WEEKS AGO, SAYING THEY WOULD NOT BE RESUMED UNTIL CRIPPLING ECONOMIC SANCTIONS AGAINST IRAQ ARE ENDED. THE U-S AND BRITISH GOVERNMENTS ANNOUNCED AIR STRIKES AND SENT MILITARY REINFORCEMENTS TO THE REGION. ON SATURDAY, REPORTEDLY MINUTES BEFORE THE FIRST STRIKES WERE TO BE LAUNCHED, IRAQ ANNOUNCED IT WAS RESUMING COOPERATION WITHOUT CONDITIONS. /// OPT /// THE U-N SPECIAL ENVOY TO IRAQ, PRAKASH SHAH, SAID MONDAY THAT IRAQ WOULD BE WATCHED CLOSELY. HE SAID MANY MEMBERS OF THE U-N SECURITY COUNCIL WANT IRAQ'S RESOLVE TO BE TESTED AND PROVEN ON THE GROUND. HE SAID THAT IF IRAQ COOPERATES FULLY, THE COMPREHENSIVE REVIEW OF THE DISARMAMENT PROGRAM, WHICH IRAQ HAS BEEN DEMANDING, COULD GET UNDERWAY. /// OPT /// THE COMPREHENSIVE REVIEW WAS PART OF A COMPROMISE BROKERED BY U-N SECRETARY-GENERAL KOFI ANNAN LAST FEBRUARY. IT DEFUSED A PREVIOUS CRISIS HOURS BEFORE AIR STRIKES WERE TO BEGIN. /// END OPT /// THE LATEST CRISIS, HOWEVER, HAS BROUGHT WARNINGS FROM U-S AND BRITISH LEADERS THAT THIS REPRIEVE IS IRAQ'S LAST CHANCE AND THAT ANY NEW CONFRONTATION WILL BRING AN IMMEDIATE MILITARY RESPONSE. IN NEIGHBORING KUWAIT, WHOSE OCCUPATION BY IRAQ EIGHT YEARS AGO LED TO THE ECONOMIC SANCTIONS, MANY PEOPLE EXPRESS FRUSTRATION OVER THE LATEST COMPROMISE. THEY SAY EVERY SIX MONTHS IRAQ BECOMES DEFIANT, THE U-S GOVERNMENT SENDS TROOPS TO THE REGION, AND THEIR GOVERNMENT PAYS THE BILL. /// OPT /// SOME OBSERVERS IN THE REGION HAVE SAID THE REPEATED CONFRONTATIONS MAY PROVIDE A PRETEXT FOR WESTERN GOVERNMENTS TO MAINTAIN TROOPS IN THE REGION. /// END OPT /// OTHERS DO NOT BELIEVE THE IRAQI GOVERNMENT WILL EVER FULLY COOPERATE WITH A DISARMAMENT PROGRAM WHICH ULTIMATELY IS AIMED AT ELIMINATING IRAQ AS A MILITARY POWER IN THE REGION. AS A RESULT, MANY SAY THEY BELIEVE A NEW CRISIS IS INEVITABLE AND THE ONLY QUESTION IS HOW LONG IT WILL TAKE TO EVOLVE. (SIGNED) NEB/SB/JWH 17-Nov-98 9:57 AM EST (1457 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .