
DATE=12/26/98 TYPE=CORRESPONDENT REPORT NUMBER=2-243522 TITLE=IRAQ SATURDAY UPDATE (L) BYLINE=SCOTT BOBB DATELINE=CAIRO CONTENT= VOICED AT: (EDS: WATCH CN WIRE FOR UPDATES) INTRO: IRAQ SAYS ITS AIR DEFENSE FORCES HAVE REPELLED AN INCURSION BY WESTERN WAR PLANES FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE U-S AND BRITISH AIR STRIKES AGAINST IRAQ ONE WEEK AGO. CORRESPONDENT SCOTT BOBB REPORTS FROM OUR MIDDLE EAST BUREAU IN CAIRO THAT ALLIED FORCES, WHICH ROUTINELY PATROL PARTS OF NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN IRAQ, SAY THEY HAVE NO KNOWLEDGE OF ANY SUCH INCIDENT. TEXT: THE IRAQI NEWS AGENCY QUOTES A DEFENSE OFFICIAL AS SAYING THE INCIDENT TOOK PLACE AROUND MID-DAY SATURDAY. IT SAYS THE PLANES WERE "CONFRONTED" BY IRAQI AIR DEFENSE FORCES, A TERM USUALLY MEANING THAT THEY WERE FIRED UPON. THE IRAQI OFFICIAL DID NOT SAY WHERE THE INCIDENT TOOK PLACE, ONLY THAT THE PLANES CAME FROM KUWAIT AND SAUDI ARABIA. U-S AND BRITISH FORCES PATROL A NO-FLY ZONE IN SOUTHERN IRAQ FROM BASES IN THESE TWO COUNTRIES. THE REPORTED INCIDENT CAME ONE WEEK AFTER U-S AND BRITISH FORCES HALTED AIR RAIDS THAT STRUCK NEARLY 100 TARGETS IN IRAQ. THE ATTACKS WERE CRITICIZED BY MANY GOVERNMENTS AND BROUGHT ANGRY DEMONSTRATIONS IN MANY ARAB COUNTRIES. IRAQIS HAVE EXPRESSED RELIEF THE ATTACKS ARE OVER, BUT REMAIN DEFIANT OVER EFFORTS TO MONITOR AND DISMANTLE IRAQ'S WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION. BAGHDAD'S INFLUENTIAL BABEL NEWSPAPER SATURDAY REITERATED THE IRAQI POSITION THAT U-N WEAPONS INSPECTORS WILL NOT BE ALLOWED TO RETURN TO IRAQ. AND IT PREDICTED THAT CHIEF U-N WEAPONS INSPECTOR RICHARD BUTLER, WHOSE REPORT LED TO THE AIR STRIKES, WILL BE REPLACED. IRAQI NEWSPAPERS SAID FRIDAY THE GOVERNMENT MIGHT ALLOW ELECTRONIC MONITORING OF SUSPECTED WEAPONS SITES, IF ECONOMIC SANCTIONS ARE LIFTED. BUT THEY DISMISSED CALLS FROM WASHINGTON AND LONDON THAT ECONOMIC SANCTIONS WILL BE LIFTED ONLY AFTER FULL INSPECTIONS HAVE RESUMED. /// REST OPT /// POLITICAL OBSERVERS IN THE REGION NOTE THAT ONE WEEK AFTER THE END OF THE AIR STRIKES, ARAB POSITIONS HAVE HARDENED OVER POLICY TOWARD IRAQ. VIRTUALLY ALL ARAB GOVERNMENTS ARE NOW CALLING FOR AN END TO THE ECONOMIC SANCTIONS, SAYING THEY HAVE ONLY SERVED TO WEAKEN THE IRAQI PEOPLE, WHILE STRENGTHENING THE IRAQI REGIME. MANY GOVERNMENTS IN THE REGION BELIEVE IRAQ NO LONGER REPRESENTS A MILITARY THREAT TO THE REGION. THEY SAY NEW DIPLOMATIC OVERTURES SHOULD BE LAUNCHED TO RESTORE IRAQ'S POSITION IN THE ARAB COMMUNITY, PROVIDED IT ABANDONS ITS AGGRESSIVE POLICIES. MANY ARAB LEADERS PRIVATELY ARE EXPRESSING CONCERN THAT A MILITARY OPERATION WAS LAUNCHED BY TWO WORLD POWERS WITHOUT THE CONSENT OF THEIR PARTNERS IN THE U-N SECURITY COUNCIL AND DESPITE OPPOSITION FROM A LARGE NUMBER OF NATIONS OF THE WORLD. THEY SEE THE U-N SECURITY COUNCIL AS DIVIDED OVER POLICY TOWARD IRAQ FOR WEEKS TO COME. AS A RESULT, THEY FORESEE LITTLE ACTION BY U-N MEDIATORS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF MORE VIOLENCE IF A RETURN TO DIPLOMACY IS DELAYED. (SIGNED) NEB/SB/DW/GE 26-Dec-98 11:17 AM EST (1617 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .