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DATE=12/21/1999 TYPE=BACKGROUND REPORT TITLE=YEARENDER: U-S FOREIGN POLICY - ONE NUMBER=5-45073 BYLINE=ED WARNER DATELINE=WASHINGTON CONTENT= VOICED AT: /// EDS: This is the first of two year-end spots on U-S foreign policy /// INTRO: Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, America has been searching for a new foreign policy. During the Cold War, containment was generally the U-S response to Soviet expansionism. Though that policy was often criticized by both the left and right, it served as a rough guide, and in time, it succeeded. What can replace it now in a much more complicated world? V-O-A's Ed Warner asked four leading analysts for their views on the foreign policy the United States should pursue in the post-communist era. TEXT: We are still trying to find a post-communist strategy to deal with the world, says Michael Mandelbaum of the Council on Foreign Relations: /// Mandelbaum Act /// No one has found a comparable framework or simplifying assumption to the one that guided American foreign policy during the Cold War - namely, containment. Perhaps the closest to an equivalent strategy or framework is globalization, or trade. Certainly, this administration has emphasized trade throughout its term in office, but it does not quite fill the gap left by the collapse of the Soviet Union. /// End Act /// Mr. Mandelbaum says although trade might be considered a kind of "junior containment," it hardly carries the weight of that earlier policy. Maybe we should abandon the search, says Joseph Nye, dean of the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University. No overall policy can cope with today's global confusion: /// Nye Act /// There is not a clear and present danger as there was during the Cold War. There is not one dominant enemy, as there was with the Soviet Union. The effort to reduce all the complexity of foreign policy to a single slogan like "democratization" or something of that sort is probably misleading. We are going to have to learn to live with a somewhat more complex world. /// End Act /// Mr. Nye says the United States should probably follow the example of nineteenth century Britain, which used its global power to maintain an open economy and a degree of order in the world. Global stability now rests on American power, says General William Odum, director of National Security Studies at the Hudson Institute and a former Director of the National Security Agency: /// Odum Act /// What I see is a world in which U-S power is really dramatically larger vis-vis the rest of the world than most people understand, much larger than most American political leaders understand. And when you add to it the resources of NATO and South Korea and Japan, then this alliance structure really is hegemonic. And hegemonic not in an oppressive way, but in a way that countries fight to get into it. They do not fight to get out of it. /// End Act /// General Odum says today's hegemonic America has been called an "empire by invitation." Others join voluntarily. They are not coerced. U-S power serves to spread liberal institutions around the world and then to protect them. Military ties are an important component of this. Then why does the United States get involved in so many peripheral matters? asks Ted Carpenter, director of Defense and Foreign Policy Studies at Washington's Cato Institute. He believes the lack of a strategy has led the United States into conflicts it should avoid: /// Carpenter Act /// The United States should focus on the major developments in the international system that could really affect our security and well-being and not get bogged down in petty problems that should be handled by powers in the region that is affected. Becoming the baby-sitter of the Persian Gulf, the baby sitter of the Balkans, should not be in the job description of a country as powerful as the United States. /// End Act /// Mr. Carpenter says the United States has its hands full dealing with troublesome powers such as China and Russia and should not go looking for trouble elsewhere. (signed) NEB/EW/JP 21-Dec-1999 10:57 AM EDT (21-Dec-1999 1557 UTC) NNNN Source: Voice of America .