RDT&E, Defensewide / BA 03 (Advanced Technology Development) PE: 0603173C (Proj: 3270)
PE Title: Support Tech (U)
| FY1995 | FY1996 | FY1997 | FY1998 | FY1999 | FY2000 | FY2001 | |||
| Program Name: | Actual | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | To Complete | Total Program |
| 0603173C RDT&E | 28,433 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Completed | Completed |
(U) Threat and Countermeasures Program. This project has transitioned to PE 0603871C (NMD Technology) and PE0603872C (other TMD) for all future work. The BMDO National Missile Defense (NMD) and Theater Missile Defense (TMD) Threat Programs define potential adversary military forces principally theater and strategic missiles, which the Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) system could confront. To accomplish this mission, BMDO has a threat development program which is based on Intelligence Community projections and is traceable to quantifiable analysis. The Program comprises three component tasks: Intelligence Threat, Countermeasures Integration, and System Threat Scenario Generation.
(U) Intelligence Threat Task. The purpose of the BMD Intelligence Threat task is to provide Intelligence Community-validated NMD and TMD threat descriptions. The Intelligence Threat task divides the threat into four major categories: Operational Threat Environment, Targets, System Specific Threats (SST), and Reactive Threats. The Operational Threat Environment includes assessments of the NMD and TMD operational and technological environments and projects the effects of developments and trends on mission capability. The Targets category includes a projection of foreign theater and strategic missile systems and the countermeasures that enhance their performance. This includes force structure, performance characteristics, and sample signatures. SST includes reconnaissance, surveillance, and target acquisition; lethal and non-lethal threats; and regional integrated SST assessments. Reactive Threats are those that an adversary may develop as a result of deployment of U.S. NMD and TMD systems.
(U) System Threat Scenario Generation Task. The accurate specification and characterization of ballistic missiles and the appropriate development and integration of scenarios using these characterizations are critical to the analysis of alternative ballistic missile architectures, the performance assessments of potential technology applications, and the operational performance evaluations of candidate designs. This task provides baseline and excursion scenario descriptions in documentary and digital form for use in BMDO TMD COEA evaluations and NMD system and architecture analyses. These descriptions are the only approved threat employment portrayals authorized for acceptable BMDO analysis. This task:
(1) Identifies user needs for threat scenario descriptions.
(2) Identifies analyses needed to fully specify and characterize the threat missile systems, penetration aids, tactics, etc., and ensures the analyses is accomplished.
(3) Provides the analysis results to all interested agencies for review and comment.
(4) Addresses critical threat issues which arise during the analysis process.
(5) Ensures all supporting agencies' views on threat issues are fully aired.
(6) Reviews, approves, produces, and distributes all System Threat Scenario descriptions.
(7) Produces threat computer digital media and supporting documentation for use by the development and acquisition communities.
(U) Countermeasures Integration Task. The BMDO Countermeasure Integration (CMI) Program assists BMD acquisition program offices in developing ballistic missile defense systems that are robust to potential countermeasures which are practical and within the means of anticipated adversaries. Included in this mission is CMI Program support to the BMD threat development process and advance warning to BMDO system designers. The CMI program determines the effectiveness of potential countermeasures through analysis, high fidelity simulations, and ground and flight tests. The BMDO CMI Program reviews BMD systems for susceptibilities and identifies potential countermeasure concepts. CMI then analyzes the potential effectiveness of each countermeasure concept and characterizes credible countermeasures by providing designs and performance parameters. CMI informs intelligence and system threat developers of potential countermeasures, informs BMD system designers with advance warning of potential countermeasures, and assists BMD system designers in developing counter-countermeasures. Providing vulnerability and susceptibility information to the system designers early enables them to build robustness into their designs during the early stages of the system development process, a cost-effective means for providing a flexible high-performance design.
(U) Intelligence Threat Task. The key project accomplishments were the production of BMDO Capstone System Threat Assessment Reports (STARs), Intelligence Production Requirements, and system level descriptions of most adversarial ballistic missiles and penaids. In addition, the Intelligence Threat task detailed lethality-oriented and test target designs, extensively assessed System Specific Threats, and began country-by-country evaluations of military doctrine for missile employment. An unclassified ballistic missile proliferation report was widely distributed. In FY95 the Intelligence Threat Division completed a National Missile Defense Threat Assessment Report (NMDTAR) and created a Threat Reference Guide database of current intelligence material.
(U) System Threat Scenario Generation Task. This task was designed to provide threat data in a form that could be used by system designers to evaluate the effectiveness of missile defenses. From the creation of the FY88-89 Design-to-Threat documentation to the FY91 Global Protection Against Limited Strikes (GPALS) 91 series of scenarios to the current production of Theater Campaign Scenarios, the System Threat Scenario Generation task sought to provide a more detailed description of the total threat environment U.S. missile defense systems will face in the future. The scenarios created since the inception of the program expanded the threat description from single ballistic missile flights to descriptions of environments that include missiles, aircraft, UAVs, cruise missiles, rockets, electronic warfare, and red defensive systems such as SAMs. All threat data contained in the scenarios are drawn from Intelligence Community estimates and modeled by the Joint National Test Facility (JNTF).
(U) Countermeasures Integration Task. The Countermeasures Integration program completed susceptibility analyses of the THAAD, GBR, and PAC-3 (ERINT) systems to potential enemy countermeasures and communicated the results to the BMD acquisition community. A countermeasures "skunkworks" was established to conceive, design, assemble, and test simple inexpensive TMD countermeasures in a "Rest of World" (ROW) environment. The skunkworks completed one highly successful countermeasures flight test and commenced work on three other potentially effective countermeasures. Additionally, the Countermeasures Integration program established a data base on the countermeasures technologies available to potential ROW adversaries. This data base will assist the BMD developers in designing systems that are robust to potential countermeasures. Counter-countermeasures parametric studies (CCMPS) were initiated to assist BMD program offices in assessing the design, cost, and schedule impact of implementing counters to potential countermeasures. The Countermeasures program completed a comprehensive analysis (technical/non-technical) of the effect of countermeasures upon TMD systems in the low endoatmospheric region (the Low Endo Red/Blue Exchange) and planned a similar exchange directed at countermeasures to the entire TMD BM/C3 architecture in all regions.
o ($7.282M) Intelligence Threat Task:
Continued work on Capstone STAR, target analysis, operational threat environment intelligence assessments, management, and planning support.
Completed National Missile Defense Threat Assessment Report.
Completed initial distribution of Threat Reference Guide.
o ($5.206M) System Threat Scenario Generation Task:
Developed threat system characterizations and scenario descriptions in response to the analysis needs of the system/element developers.
Continued to upgrade the threat modeling capability and produced electronic media and supporting documentation through the JNTF.
Developed scenarios depicting employed threat systems
o ($15.945M) Countermeasures (CM) Integration Task:
Continued TMD CM Red/Blue activities and counter-countermeasure parametric studies and TMD CM technical experiments and evaluations.
Continued supporting CM Skunkworks teams conducting CM concept, design, fabrication, and flight tests (3 countermeasures missions), non-technical analysis, oversight, and database management.
(U) Acquisition Strategy: Funding is provided to Executing Agents who accomplish tasks under existing contracts via Military Interdepartmental Purchase Requests (MIPRs); Scientific, Engineering, and Technical Assistance (SETA) contracts; and Federally Funded Research and Development Centers (FFRDCs).
| FY1995 | FY1996 | FY1997 | FY1998 | TOTAL COST | |
| Previous President's Budget | 30,167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30,167 |
| Current Budget Submit | 28,433 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28,433 |
Change Summary Explanation:
Funding: None
Schedule: None
Technical: None
| Related RDT&E: | Funding Dependency? (Yes1//No) |
| 1266 Sea-based Theater-wide TBMD (Upper Tier), PE 0603868C | No |
| 2257 PATRIOT, PE 0208865C | No |
| 2260 THAAD System, PE 0603861C/0604861C | No |
| 2263 Sea-based Area TBMD (Lower Tier), PE 0603867C/0604867C | No |
| 3270 Threat and Countermeasures, PE 0603872C/0603871C | Yes |
| 3352 Modeling and Simulations, PE 0603871C/0603872C | No |
1Funding data for related RDT&E efforts that have a funding dependency can be found in the respective project summary/program element.
o Not applicable
None