RDT&E, Defensewide / BA 04 (Dem/Val) PE: 0603871C (Proj: 3270)
PE Title: NMD Tech (U)
| FY1995 | FY1996 | FY1997 | FY1998 | FY1999 | FY2000 | FY2001 | |||
| Program Name: | Actual | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | Estimate | To Complete | Total Program |
| 0603871C RDT&E | 0 | 8,039 | 7,315 | 690 | 660 | 485 | 480 | Continuing | Continuing |
(U) Threat and Countermeasures Program: The BMDO National Missile Defense (NMD) Threat Program defines potential adversary military forces, principally: Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles (ICBMs) and Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missiles (SLBMs) which the Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD) system could confront. To accomplish this mission, BMDO has a threat development program which is based on Intelligence Community projections and is traceable to quantifiable analysis. The program comprises three component tasks: Intelligence Threat, Countermeasures Integration, and System Threat Scenario Generation.
(U) Intelligence Threat Task: The purpose of the Intelligence Threat task is to provide an Intelligence Community-validated NMD threat description (in the form of the NMD Threat Assessment Report (NMDTAR)). The Intelligence Threat task divides the threat into four major categories: Operational Threat Environment, Targets, System Specific Threats (SST), and Reactive Threats. The Operational Threat Environment includes assessments of the ICBM and SLBM operational and technological environments and projects the effects of developments and trends on NMD mission capability. The Targets category includes a projection of foreign ICBM and SLBM threat systems and NMD countermeasures that enhance their performance. This includes force structure, performance characteristics, and sample signatures. System Specific Threat addresses threats to the NMD system including reconnaissance, surveillance, and target acquisition; lethal and non-lethal threats; and regional integrated SST assessments. The Reactive threats are those that an adversary may develop as a result of deployment of a U.S. NMD system.
(U) System Threat Scenario Generation Task: The accurate specification and characterization of ballistic missiles and the appropriate development and integration of scenarios using these characterizations are critical to the analysis of alternative ballistic missile architectures, the performance assessments of potential technology applications, and the operational performance evaluations of candidate designs. This task provides baseline and excursion scenario descriptions in documentary and digital form for use in NMD system and architecture analyses. These descriptions are the only approved threat employment portrayals authorized for acceptable BMDO analysis. This task:
(1) Identifies user needs for threat scenario descriptions.
(2) Identifies analyses needed to fully specify and characterize the threat missile systems, penetration aids, tactics, etc., and ensures the analyses are accomplished.
(3) Provides the analyses results to all interested agencies for review and comment.
(4) Addresses critical threat issues which arise during the analysis process.
(5) Ensures all supporting agencies' views on threat issues are fully aired.
(6) Reviews, approves, produces, and distributes all System Threat Scenario Descriptions.
(7) Produces threat computer digital media and supporting documentation for use by the development and acquisition communities.
(U) Countermeasures Integration Task: The BMDO Countermeasure Integration (CMI) Program assists NMD technology readiness programs in developing technologies for national missile defense systems that are robust to potential countermeasures which are practical and within the means of anticipated adversaries. Included in this mission is CMI Program support to the NMD threat development process and advance warning to BMDO system designers. The BMDO CMI Program reviews NMD system concepts for susceptibilities and identifies potential countermeasures, determines credibility of these countermeasures through analyses and tests, characterizes credible NMD countermeasures by providing designs and performance parameters, informs intelligence and system threat developers of potential countermeasures, informs NMD system designers with advance warning of potential countermeasures, and assists NMD system designers in developing counter-countermeasures. Providing vulnerability and susceptibility information to the system designers early enables them to build robustness into their designs during the early stages of the system development process, a cost-effective means for providing a flexible, high-performance design.
This project was previously funded under Project 3270, PE0603173C, in FY95 and is now split between the NMD and TMD PEs of 0603871C and 0603872C, respectively.
Not applicable
o ($2.009M) Intelligence Threat Task:
Provide specialty threats, targets analyses, and operational threat environment intelligence assessments.
o ($1.625M) System Threat Scenario Generation Task:
Continue development of threat system characterizations and scenario descriptions in response to the analysis needs of the NMD system/element developers.
Upgrade the threat modeling capability and produce digital media threat products and supporting documentation through the Joint National Test Facility (JNTF).
Develop scenarios depicting employed threat systems to support NMD analysis.
o ($4.405M) Countermeasures (CM) Integration Task:
Perform NMD CM Red/Blue activities and Counter-countermeasure Parametric Studies, and NMD CM technical experiments and evaluations.
Support CM Skunkworks teams conducting CM concept, design, fabrication, and flight tests. Conduct non-technical analysis, oversight, and database management.
Begin design and fabrication work on a dedicated countermeasures flight experiment code-named "Red Crow." This experiment will test escort jammer concepts and other possible NMD Countermeasures.
o ($1.756) Intelligence Threat Task:
Provide specialty threats, targets analyses, and operational threat environment intelligence assessments.
o ($1.624M) System Threat Scenario Generation Task:
Continue development of threat system characterizations and scenario descriptions in response to the analysis needs of the NMD system/element developers.
Upgrade the threat modeling capability and produce digital media threat products and supporting documentation through the JNTF.
Develop scenarios depicting employed threat systems to support NMD analysis.
o ($3.935M) Countermeasures Integration Task:
Perform NMD CM Red/Blue activities and counter-countermeasure parametric studies and NMD CM technical experiments and evaluations.
Support CM Skunkworks teams conducting CM concept, design, fabrication, and flight tests. Conduct non-technical analysis, oversight, and database management.
Continue work on "Red Crow" countermeasures flight experiment. Red Crow will test escort jammer concepts, among other things.
o ($0.146M) Intelligence Threat Task:
Provide specialty threats, targets analyses, and operational threat environment intelligence assessments.
o ($0.544M) System Threat Scenario Generation Task:
Continue development of threat system characterizations and scenario descriptions in response to the analysis needs of the NMD system/element developers.
Upgrade the threat modeling capability and produce digital media threat products and supporting documentation through the JNTF.
Develop scenarios depicting employed threat systems to support NMD analysis.
| FY1995 | FY1996 | FY1997 | FY1998 | TOTAL COST | |
| Previous President's Budget | 0 | 8,272 | 8,312 | 1,663 | 18,247 |
| Current Budget Submit | 0 | 8,039 | 7,315 | 690 | 16,044 |
Funding: Countermeasure Program realigned to reflect re-directed changes in NMD program to focus on FY99 system demonstration.
Schedule: None
Technical: None
| Related RDT&E: | Funding Dependency? (Yes1/No) |
| 1266 Navy Theater-wide TBMD (formerly Upper Tier), PE 0603868C | No |
| 2257 PATRIOT, PE 0208865C | No |
| 2260 THAAD System, PE 0603861C/PE 0604861C | No |
| 2263 Navy Area TBMD (formerly Lower Tier), PE 0603867C/PE 0604867C | No |
| 3352 Modeling and Simulations, PE 0603871C/PE 0603872C | No |
| 3270 Threat and Countermeasures, PE 0603872C/PE 0603173C | Yes |
1Funding data for related RDT&E efforts that have a funding dependency can be found in the respective project summary/program element.
| FY1995 | FY1996 | FY1997 | FY1998 | |||||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| Engineering Milestone | xc | xa | xa,b | xa | xa | xa | xa,b | xa | xa,d | xa | xa,b | xa | ||||
| T&E Milestone | ||||||||||||||||
| Tech Demo Milestone | ||||||||||||||||
| Contract Milestone | ||||||||||||||||
a Threat Scenario Generation
b NMDTAR Published
c Begin Red Crow experiment funding
d Red Crow flight test mission complete
| NMDTAR Published | 3Q of each fiscal year |
| Threat Scenario Generation | Quarterly |