Chapter 7

Conclusions


Introduction

The FY 98 Air and Missile Defense Master Plan is the ADA branch modernization plan to enable continued AMD superiority into the future. It is the product of capabilities-based analyses of AMD needs. Key factors in the development of the AMDMP are the future Army/joint doctrine, global threat, current system capabilities, and technological opportunities. This chapter reviews the assessment process that produced this plan and provides unprioritized investment recommendations derived from that assessment.

AMDMP Summary

The AMDMP supports AMD force evolution under the umbrella of emerging Army operational concepts. Figure 7-1 depicts the overall process to develop the plan. The process began by focusing on key trends in threat evolution and proliferation in Chapter 2. Chapter 3 laid the conceptual framework for the AMD Force to evolve from AMD Force XXI to AMD Force 2010 and grow to AMD Force 2025. The required operational capabilities to execute the AMD mission were defined for each of the Army Vision 2010 patterns of operation. Technologies that have potential to enable future mission execution were examined relative to their functional contribution to the FOCs in Chapter 4. Chapter 5 laid out the current modernization programs. Assessments of the planned programs’ abilities to execute the required capabilities in four time periods were presented in Chapter 6. These led to the identification of shortcomings in execution of the patterns of operation in Chapter 6.

The unprioritized investment recommen-dations (Figure 7-2) are grouped to achieve the major thrusts of current and future operations and are consistent with joint concepts of operation. Information Dominance is the key enabler for all 21st-century Army and joint operations. Operations in offensive and defensive information warfare will be critical to achieving decisive victories. Maintaining Overmatch Capabilities will require sustained future investments. Overmatch systems will use increasingly capable improvements to defeat the threat. Investments in Science and Technology will enable the leap-ahead systems envisioned for the AAN.

The AMDMP synchronizes the capabili-ties needed to execute Army operational concepts against the future threat. The global threat environment will be shaped by projected trends in regional dangers, increased danger of asymmetric attacks, and proliferation of advanced weapons. Engineering the force to counter the threat requires the capabilities articulated in the AMDMP.

The AMDMP documents the correct modernization plan to win today’s fight and those in the future. The AMDMP makes the right recommendations for near-, mid-, and long-term AMD investments to provide a focus for 21st- century modernization.


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