FM 44-100 US ARMY AIR DEFENSE OPERATIONS
15 June 1995
ARMY AIR DEFENSE PLANNING
Estimates are evaluations of how factors in each field of interest will influence the courses of action the commander considers. Although the estimate of the situation lies first and foremost in the commander's mind, staff estimates help the commander determine feasible, suitable, and acceptable courses of action. Staff estimates help the commander gather, update, analyze, evaluate, and validate critical facts, assumptions, and events. The estimate also allows the commander to formulate conclusions based on each staff's estimate.
Estimates provide the basis for logically and analytically developing solutions to situations (both in planning future operations and fighting current operations). The staff recommends how the commander can employ the command's available assets. The commander uses this information to reach decisions.
Once a mission is received, the estimate process begins. The ADA commander develops the air defense estimate in concert with the force S3 or G3. The ADA commander uses the IPB furnished by the force S2 or G2. Then, the ADA commander gathers and analyzes facts and makes assumptions. He will use these facts and assumptions to develop logical courses of action. The commander then chooses the course of action that best supports the mission. After the force commander selects a course of action, the air defense planning process continues. The result of this process is the air defense annex detailing air defense support for the concept of the operation.
The air defense estimate follows the basic staff estimate format. The air defense estimate provides information regarding the air defense supportability of proposed courses of action. It also provides recommended air defense priorities and an air defense scheme of maneuver. This information forms a basis for the air defense plan and is presented in the air defense annex. The estimate must be constantly reevaluated to keep it current. The factors of METT-T, OCOKA, and other considerations guide the ADA commander and staff during the estimate and subsequent planning. The degree of detail presented in the estimate depends on the planning time available. However, all elements of the estimate must be considered to make valid recommendations. The Air Defense Estimate Situation Overview illustration shows the relationship among troop-leading procedures, decision making, estimate of the situation, and IPB. The Estimate of the Air Defense Situation illustration shows a supporting commander's or operations estimate. The commander's or operations estimate formats provided in FM 101-5 may also be used.
Headquarters
Place
Date, time, and zone
Message reference number
AIR DEFENSE ESTIMATE NUMBER____
References: Maps, charts, or other documents.
Time Zone Used Throughout the Estimate:
1. MISSION
When the estimate's purpose is to support the force level commander's operation, use the force level commander's mission statement. As the commander or operations officer, use the unit's mission statement when the estimate's purpose is to determine which course of action best accomplishes the support mission.
AIR DEFENSE ESTIMATE NUMBER____
2. THE SITUATION AND COURSES OF ACTION
This paragraph describes the conditions under which the unit will perform its mission and the possible courses of action of the supported force.
(2) Characteristics of the area of operations. This paragraph includes analysis of the effects of pertinent characteristics on conducting air defense operations. Consider the following:
(b) Terrain. Analyze the effects of terrain, including effects on observation and fire; cover and concealment; movement (surface and air); employment of friendly and enemy NBC weapons; communications, electronic warfare and combat surveillance; unconventional warfare; psychological operations; and other aspects of military operations. Determine key terrain and air avenues of approach. Also discuss terrain features that limit air vehicle detection or target acquisition and terrain that might canalize or force air targets to fly a particular profile. Try to determine where the enemy will most probably use air assets.
(c) Other pertinent factors. List analysis of political, economic, sociological, psychological, and other factors (such as hydrography, environment, communications, science, technology, materiel, transportation, safety and accident prevention, and manpower). Include deduction about their effects on friendly and enemy operations.
(b) Composition. The enemy organization for combat includes identity of units, types of air platforms and missiles, and armament. Also address how many sorties and missiles are expected to be flown per day, and possible composition of those sorties.
AIR DEFENSE ESTIMATE NUMBER____
(d) Other considerations. Enemy forces not discussed above.
(e) Recent and present signicant activities. Summary of recent enemy activities that were both successful and unsuccessful. Highlight any enemy air activity to include number, type of air plaffomms, and locations.
(f) Peculiarities and weaknesses. Indicate enemy peculiarities and weaknesses that might influence combat effectiveness, including vulnerability to deception.
(g) Enemy capabilities. A compilation of available information from which to draw conclusions about possible enemy air courses of action and how they relate to the enemy ground courses of action.
(b) Personnel, logistics, and civil-military operations. The status of personnel and logistics in the unit. Identify civil-military operations requirements. Identify limitations which affect or may affect the conduct of air defense operations. Can the mission be accomplished?
c. Own courses of action. Present an air defense course of action for each of the supported force courses of action. Each ADA course of action presented should include the following aspects:
AIR DEFENSE ESTIMATE NUMBER____
3. ANALYSIS OF COURSES OF ACTION
Present a narrative which war-games each course of action. Determine the probable outcome of each course of action, including critical incidents, areas, times, and significant difficulties. Apply these factors to the analysis by considering the impact of enemy capabilities and significant difficulties on the possible success of each course of action.
4. COMPARISON OF COURSES OF ACTION
Compare each of the courses of action to determine which course of action air defense can best support. Present advantages and disadvantages for each course of action.
5. DECISION (RECOMMENDATION)
Compare each of the courses of action to determine a recommendation.
ANNEXES: (as required)
The estimate of the situation assists the commander in determining the most suitable course of action to accomplish the mission. Once the commander makes this decision and clearly articulates the intent, the staff prepares OPLANs and OPORDs.
The ADCOORD must conduct detailed coordination with other staff sections to develop this annex. The ADCOORD derives information affecting the air defense annex from other staff estimates. Additionally, the air defense estimate helps drive these other staff estimates.
The ADCOORD writes the plan as a five-paragraph annex to the supported unit's OPLAN or OPORD. See the Annex G (Air Defense) to OPORD illustration. The air defense annex assigns specific air defense missions each unit must accomplish. Concurrently or sequentially, ADA units may be preparing their own OPLANs or OPORDs.
Copy___of___copies
Issuing headquarters
Place of Issue
Date-time group of signature
Message reference number
ANNEX G (AIR DEFENSE) TO OPORD_____
References: Maps, charts, or other relevant documents.
Time Zone Used Throughout the Order:
Task Organlzation
1. SITUATION
(2) Air threat data. List air-capable organizations including air platforms by number and type.
(3) Additional air threat information. List air threat information pertinent to the operation but not covered in the Intelligence Annex. Highlight specific air threat considerations like sortie rates, subordination of air elements to ground units, ordnance peculiarities, target preferences, tactics, and recent significant activities.
(4) Air avenues of approach. List all expected air avenues of approach. List all known beginning points and describe avenue of approach as it goes through the area of interest.
(5) Terrain and weather. Briefly discuss when and where the enemy will most probably use air platforms, due to terrain and weather constraints.
ANNEX G (AIR DEFENSE) TO OPORD____
(2) Adjacent units. Outline adjacent AD unit intent and plans.
(3) Supporting elements. Note supporting units and support relationship.
Who, what, when, where, how, and why statement of the mission for the air defense artillery unit.
3. EXECUTION
b. Tasks to subordinate ADA units. Briefly discuss ADA plan, command and support relationships, and priority of protection.
c. Coordinating instructions. Instructions applicable to two or more subordinate units. Include references to other applicable annexes.
(2) SOR plan. Briefly discuss initial SOR and plans to change or rotate SOR.
(3) WCS and WCS authority. Include any plans to change WCS.
(4) Hostile criteria. Basic rules the commander has established to assist in the identification of friendly or hostile air vehicles. Include preplanned changes.
(5) Rules of engagement. Address ROE unique to the operation or points in the operation where changes are intended. Include use of supplemental fire control measures.
(6) Passive air defense. Briefly discuss specific passive air defense measures that all units should take to protect themselves from air and missile attack or surveillance during this operation.
ANNEX G (AIR DEFENSE) TO OPORD____
(8) Early warning. Review method and format for passing early warning to the entire force.
See Service Support Annex.
5. COMMAND AND SIGNAL
(2) Succession of command.
ACKNOWLEDGE:
OFFICIAL: NAME (Commander's last name)
APPENDIXES: RANK (Commander's rank)
APPENDIXES:
DISTRIBUTION: