Document Title : Feasibility of Third World Advanced
Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat.Volume 1: Long Range Ballistic Missile
Threat
AD Number: ADA377354
Subject Categories: GUIDED MISSILES NUCLEAR WEAPONS
Corporate Author:
NATIONAL DEFENSE INDUSTRIAL ASSOCIATIONARLINGTON VA
Title: Feasibility of
Third World Advanced Ballistic and Cruise Missile Threat. Volume 1: Long
Range Ballistic Missile Threat
Descriptive Note: Technical study
1998-1999
Personal Authors: Woodside, Robert E.; McIver, John; Gadler,
Daniel; Beyar, James; Howe, James
Report Date: 24 JUN 1999
Pages: 49
PAGES
Monitor Acronym: XB
Monitor Series: NAVSEA
Supplementary Note:
Presented at MORS Symposium (67th), Working Group 4: Air and Missile
Defense, TMD threat, 24 Jun 1999. See also AD-A377 356.
Descriptors: *GUIDED
MISSILE WARHEADS, *CRUISE MISSILES, *THREAT EVALUATION, *MASS DESTRUCTION
WEAPONS, DEVELOPING NATIONS, NORTH KOREA, IRAQ, GUIDED MISSILE
TRAJECTORIES, LONG RANGE(DISTANCE), GERMANY, FLIGHT SIMULATION, TACTICAL
WEAPONS, IRAN, LAUNCH VEHICLES, INTERCONTINENTAL BALLISTIC MISSILES, TECHNOLOGY
ASSESSMENT.
Identifiers: LRBM(LONG RANGE BALLISTIC MISSILE)
Abstract: "Feasibility of Third World Long Range Ballistic Missile
Threat" presents the results of a United States aerospace industry study which
assesses the likelihood of a Third World country developing a long range
(3,000-10,000 km) ballistic missile (LRBM) system and the estimated time
to field it. A 10, 000-km range ballistic missile launched from North
Korea, for example, can reach the western and central regions of the United
States. Likewise, a 5,000-km range missile launched from Iran could reach
cities throughout Western Europe. The study contains four technical sections:
historical developments and technology migration, trends in Third World
ballistic missile weaponry, threat development on a compressed schedule,
and candidate LRBM configurations. The report is unclassified because it drew
exclusively upon unclassified sources of information. The study traces the
history of the LRBM threat from Germany's V-2 rockets of World War II to the
present II shows how Third World countries could quickly field and launch LRBMs
with technical assistance and components imported from developed nations. The
Study examines five different options by which a Third World country could
achieve a long range ballistic missile capability: Buy a long range
ballistic missile; Buy and convert an available space launch vehicle;
Cluster or stack existing tactical missiles as boosters; Design and build a
booster and use existing tactical missile for upper stage; or Design and
build an entire missile. The flight stability and performance
characteristics of feasible Third World missile configurations are based
on industry experience in the design of missile systems and verified by
the use of standard engineering analysis tools and missile flight
simulations. The report contains the estimated time required for a Third World
nation to develop each option as measured from program start to first launch.
Limitation Code: APPROVED FOR PUBLIC RELEASE
Source Code: 433823
Citation Creation Date: 31 MAY 2000