Commission to Assess the Ballistic Missile Threat to the United States
Appendix III: Unclassified Working Papers
Attachment 2. Unclassified Working Papers
Roundtable Topics, Panelists and Summaries of Panelists' Remarks
Iran and Iraq: Michael Eisenstadt, Kenneth Katzman, Kenneth Timmerman
and Seth Carus
Russia/Ukraine: Bruce Blair, Stephen Blank, Daniel Gouré
and Nadia Schadlow
China/Japan/Korea: Gerrit Gong, Selig Harrison,
Robert Manning and David Wright
India/Pakistan: Daniel Gouré, Michael Krepon
and David Tanks
North Africa/Israel: Seth Carus and Dov Zakheim
Technology Transfers: David C. Isby, John M. Myrah and Henry Sokolski
Pathways for Transfer: Dennis M. Gormley, Aaron Karp and Richard T.
Supplier Nations: Robbin Laird, Tim McCarthy,
Keith Payne, David Smith
Bruce Blair: "The Plight of the Russian Military
and Nuclear Control"
Stephen J. Blank: "Nuclear Strategy and Nuclear
Proliferation in Russian Strategy"
W. Seth Carus: "Ballistic Missiles in Iran and Iraq:
W. Seth Carus: "Israeli Ballistic Missile Developments"
Richard T. Cupitt: "Export Controls and Missile
Michael Eisenstadt: "Missiles and Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMDs)
in Iraq and Iran"
Gerrit W. Gong: "Assessing the Ballistic Missile Threat:
Dennis M. Gormley : "Transfer Pathways for
Daniel Gouré: "The Evolution of Russian Nuclear Forces: Working to a
Daniel Gouré : "WMD and Ballistic Missiles in
Selig S. Harrison: "Missile Capabilities in Northeast Asia: Japan,
South Korea and North Korea"
David C. Isby: "Barriers to Proliferation And Pathways to Transfer:
Building Ballistic Missile Capabilities
Aaron Karp: "Technological Pathways to Ballistic
Missiles in Iran"
Kenneth Katzman: "Iran's Long Range Missile
Kenneth Katzman: "Iraq's Long Range Missile
Michael Krepon: "India, Pakistan, and the Ballis tic
Robbin Laird: "Rethinking the Role of Western States
as Supplier Nations"
Robert A. Manning: "Missile Proliferation Threats in
John M. Myrah: "The Proliferation of Ballistic Missiles:
What Should We Do to Stop It?"
Keith Payne: "The Missile Technology Control Regime--European
Involvement and Compliance Issues"
Nadia Schadlow: "Patterns of Ukrainian Conduct"
David J. Smith: "Friendly Countries and Missile
Proliferation: Dealing With Different Perceptions"
Henry Sokolski: "Space Technology Transfers and
David R. Tanks: "Ballistic Missiles in South Asia: Are
ICBMs a Future Possibility?"
Kenneth R. Timmerman: "Rogue States and Ballistic
Missiles: Lessons and Prospects"
David C. Wright: "An Analysis of the North Korean
Kurt Guthe and Keith Payne: "The Unique Value of
Ballistic Missiles for Deterrence and Coercion: The Chinese Case"
Keith Payne and Robert Rudney: "The Unique Value of Ballistic Missiles
for Deterrence and Coercion"
Gil Siegert: "The Chinese Space Program"
Gil Siegert: "Potential Threats from Global Commercial
System Planning Corporation: "Non-Proliferation Issues"
2. Great Britain
5. South Korea